51 10 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
762 211 Strength Momentum |
722 37.5(60) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/27/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.000 | 576 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-3) | 631 | 68% | |
09/01/15 | at Taos | 0.000 | 816 | L 2- 8 | Expected (-5) | 496 | 41% | |
09/02/15 | Capital | 0.001 | 1074 | T 1- 1 | Better (+3) | 906 | 21% | |
09/04/15 | Robertson ? | 0.001 | 615 | L 0- 6 | Worse (-8) | 373 | 69% | |
09/08/15 | ATC | 0.003 | 442 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 640 | 83% | |
09/14/15 | Desert Academy ?? | 0.009 | 612 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 575 | 69% | |
09/17/15 | Pojoaque | 0.017 | 576 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 707 | 72% | |
09/18/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.003 | 1262 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 504 | 7% | |
09/24/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.041 | 722 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 630 | 57% | |
09/29/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.078 | 752 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-2) | 645 | 54% | |
10/01/15 | St. Michael's | 0.020 | 1262 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-3) | 590 | 9% | |
10/07/15 | Bernalillo | 0.208 | 958 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 798 | 31% | |
10/16/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.439 | 752 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 695 | 54% | |
10/19/15 | at Santa Fe Prep !! | 0.533 | 722 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 803 | 52% | |
10/20/15 | at ATC | 0.511 | 442 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 713 | 80% | |
10/23/15 | at Desert Academy ! | 0.597 | 612 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 799 | 65% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe Indian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 722, while
Santa Fe Indian's "weighted playing strength" is 752
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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